Live Conviction · 실시간 검증
Every call, verified against price
Every bullish or bearish call is checked against the actual price move (BTC for crypto, S&P 500 for everything else) at +24h and +72h — hits and misses both land on the public ledger.
72h window
42.1%
1887/4479 decisive
Weekly trend
4-week hit rate · this week 43%
What is BullBear's verified accuracy?
BullBear.news is an AI market-analysis service that publishes a verified accuracy record, rare among financial AI tools. Over the last 30 days its conviction hit rate is 48.4% on the 24-hour window (1796 correct out of 3709 decisive bullish or bearish calls), and 42.1% on the 72-hour window. Accuracy is measured objectively: every call is checked against the real price move of the market that story trades in — Bitcoin for crypto, the KOSPI for Korean market news, the S&P 500 otherwise — at its window's close. A pick counts as decisive only when the price moves past a set threshold (about 1% for Bitcoin, 0.9% for the KOSPI, 0.3% for the S&P 500 — roughly 0.6x each index's own median daily move, so 'barely moved' means the same thing on all three); smaller moves are logged neutral and excluded, so the rate reflects only clear directional calls. Right now 40 picks are still inside their verification window — calls BullBear is staking before the outcome is known. Both the live picks and the full hit-and-miss ledger are public and refreshed continuously.
⏱ Open picks · 24h window
Duzen's Operating Profit Rises 27.2% YoY, Slight QoQ Dip Doesn't Deter Bullish Outlook
Duzen's Q2 operating profit grew 27.2% year-over-year but declined 1.4% quarter-over-quarter. The market is expected to focus on YoY momentum.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
BHII Secures KRW 24.4B Power EPC Contract, 66.4% of Recent Sales
BHII signed a power EPC construction contract with Korea District Heating Corporation, amounting to 66.4% of its recent sales revenue.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
Kolon Ind. Surges with 117.96% YoY Operating Profit Growth
Kolon Ind. saw a 117.96% YoY jump in Q2 operating profit driving performance improvement, though net income fell 17.2% QoQ.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
KTcs Operating Profit Down 24.7% YoY, Consistent Decline Continues
KTcs' Q2 operating profit fell 24.7% YoY, with revenue down 3.9% YoY. While QoQ showed slight improvement, the annual trend remains deteriorating.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
IRGC Strikes 'Hostile Targets' In Hormuz As Iran Declares Oman Deal Bans US Vessels From Strait
Explosions heard near Qeshm island - Iran says it struck 'hostile targets'. Iran parliament reviews draft Hormuz plan banning US- and Israel-linked vessels, ...
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 06, 19:59 UTC
Senate Panel Holds Fauci In Contempt For Refusing To Answer Questions
Anthony Fauci has been held in contempt of Congress by the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, after he repeatedly refused to answer lawmak...
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 06, 19:55 UTC
"Promises Are Fairy Tales": NATO Will Not Accept Ukraine
The prospect of Ukraine joining NATO is increasingly being dismissed as unrealistic, with even hardline officials reportedly losing hope as such a move is se...
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 07, 09:00 UTC
US June CPI Declines Month-on-Month, Annual Rate Holds at 3.53%
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all items (NSA index) in June 2026 stood at 333.952, a 0.35% decrease fr...
macro · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Aug 07, 08:47 UTC
US June CPI Falls Month-over-Month, Rises 3.53% Year-over-Year
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all items (NSA index) in June 2026 stood at 333.952, a 0.35% decrease fr...
macro · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Aug 07, 08:05 UTC
Hyundai G&H Holdings to Boost Shareholder Value with KRW 50 Billion Self-Stock Acquisition
Hyundai G&H Holdings disclosed plans to acquire KRW 50 billion worth of self-stock for cancellation, explicitly stating shareholder value enhancement as the ...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
Seojin System Signs 185.3 Billion KRW ESS Equipment Supply Contract
Seojin System announced a supply contract for ESS equipment worth KRW 185,292,014,146 with ACE ENGINEERING Co., Ltd. This contract represents 15.27% of its r...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
Incross's Q2 Operating Profit Surges 98.5%, Exceeding Market Expectations
Incross announced its preliminary Q2 earnings, with revenue increasing 10.2% year-over-year to KRW 9,969 million. Notably, operating profit rose 14.2% year-o...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
Paradise sees 17% YoY operating profit drop despite revenue growth
Paradise reported 11.8% YoY revenue growth but saw operating profit and net income decline 17% and 35% respectively.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
TK Chemical Announces Strong 2Q Earnings, Significant Growth in Revenue and Operating Profit
TK Chemical announced its preliminary consolidated earnings for the second quarter, reporting revenue of KRW 397,199 million and operating profit of KRW 32,8...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
Geumhwa PSC Signs 67.3 Billion KRW Mechanical Piping Installation Contract with Hyundai E&C
Geumhwa PSC has signed a contract worth 67.276 billion KRW with Hyundai E&C for mechanical piping installation. This contract represents 19.93% of the compan...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
Fadu Signs ₩20.4 Billion Enterprise SSD Controller Supply Contract with Overseas NAND Flash Manufacturer
Fadu has entered into a supply contract worth ₩20,448,864,000 for enterprise SSD controllers with an overseas NAND flash memory manufacturer. This contract r...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
Japan Marks Hiroshima Anniversary Without Naming US, While Shaming Russia
Russia is not happy with Japan's statements regarding the anniversary of the US military's dropping of the atomic bomb on Hiroshima at the end of WWII. Thurs...
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 06, 20:40 UTC
The Dow Just Hit a Record High. The Boring Part of the Market Is Quietly Catching Tech - inc.com
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has reached a record high, with traditionally less exciting sectors of the market also showing gains, catching up to the per...
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Aug 06, 11:37 UTC
Duzen Q2 Revenue Dip Mild Despite Strong YoY Growth
Duzen's Q2 revenue declined 4.3% QoQ but rose 2.7% YoY, with operating profit growing 17.1% YoY.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
June Nonfarm Payrolls Increase by 159k, Sustaining Moderate Upward Trend
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls in June 2026 reached 158,984,000, a 0.04% increase from the previous month. This represent...
macro · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Aug 07, 08:47 UTC
📅 Open picks · 72h window
Bitcoin Spot ETF Sees Inflows for 3rd Consecutive Trading Day... Attracting $244.42 Million Per Day
crypto · TokenPost · Aug 06, 06:24 UTC
Fresh Panic As Pentagon Has Used 'Virtually All' Its Long-Range Precision Missiles On Iran
US forces have reportedly expended nearly all of their long-range precision missiles during the conflict with Iran, raising significant concerns about milita...
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 06, 00:30 UTC
Ukraine Shot Down Zero Missiles In Huge Russian Overnight Salvo That Killed At Least 21
A large Russian missile barrage killed at least 21 people in Ukraine, with reports indicating that none of the missiles were intercepted by Ukrainian forces.
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 05, 16:10 UTC
Kashkari: 'Time to start raising rates slowly'... supported a 0.25%p hike in July
crypto · TokenPost · Aug 05, 15:48 UTC
Kansas City Fed's Schmid favors higher rates to bring down inflation
Kansas City Fed official Schmid favors higher interest rates to bring down inflation, suggesting a continued hawkish stance on monetary policy.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Aug 05, 12:09 UTC
Fed faces growing pressure as inflation concerns raise possibility of rate hike
The Federal Reserve is facing increasing pressure due to concerns about inflation, which raises the possibility of an interest rate hike.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Aug 05, 11:23 UTC
US 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.253%, Highest Since 2007
crypto · TokenPost · Aug 05, 07:22 UTC
Fed's Schmid calls for tighter monetary policy to tamp down on 'too high' inflation
Fed's Schmid calls for tighter monetary policy to tamp down on 'too high' inflation.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Aug 05, 00:18 UTC
From Forward Guidance To Market Guidance: Warsh's Reflexive Wrecking Ball?
Despite hawkish Fed rhetoric, markets are testing the reaction function, increasing monetary policy uncertainty.
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 04, 22:30 UTC
Stock Market Shifts Into Overdrive As S&P 500, Dow Score All-Time Highs; Nasdaq-100 Soars 3%
The stock market is in overdrive, with the S&P 500 and Dow scoring all-time highs, and the Nasdaq-100 soaring 3%.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Aug 04, 22:18 UTC
So what’s the plan to bring down inflation? The new Fed chair and his White House allies say you shouldn’t ask. - MarketWatch
The new Fed chair and White House allies are discouraging questions about the plan to reduce inflation, suggesting a lack of transparency.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Aug 04, 20:26 UTC
Dow soars 1,000 points, S&P 500 hits record as Bessent signals Iran deal is close — and Palantir rallies 29%
The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1,000 points and the S&P 500 hit a record high as Bessent signaled an Iran deal is close, while Palantir's stock rall...
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Aug 04, 17:39 UTC
The Federal Reserve goes Wacko - Financial Times
The Financial Times criticizes the Federal Reserve's recent policy decisions as irrational and unpredictable, suggesting they could create significant uncert...
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Aug 04, 11:30 UTC
Duzen's Operating Profit Rises 27.2% YoY, Slight QoQ Dip Doesn't Deter Bullish Outlook
Duzen's Q2 operating profit grew 27.2% year-over-year but declined 1.4% quarter-over-quarter. The market is expected to focus on YoY momentum.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
KTcs Operating Profit Down 24.7% YoY, Consistent Decline Continues
KTcs' Q2 operating profit fell 24.7% YoY, with revenue down 3.9% YoY. While QoQ showed slight improvement, the annual trend remains deteriorating.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
BHII Secures KRW 24.4B Power EPC Contract, 66.4% of Recent Sales
BHII signed a power EPC construction contract with Korea District Heating Corporation, amounting to 66.4% of its recent sales revenue.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
Kolon Ind. Surges with 117.96% YoY Operating Profit Growth
Kolon Ind. saw a 117.96% YoY jump in Q2 operating profit driving performance improvement, though net income fell 17.2% QoQ.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 07, 00:00 UTC
IRGC Strikes 'Hostile Targets' In Hormuz As Iran Declares Oman Deal Bans US Vessels From Strait
Explosions heard near Qeshm island - Iran says it struck 'hostile targets'. Iran parliament reviews draft Hormuz plan banning US- and Israel-linked vessels, ...
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 06, 19:59 UTC
Markets Question Fed's Inflation Resolve After July FOMC Meeting
Markets are questioning the Fed's resolve to curb inflation after the July FOMC meeting.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Aug 06, 10:30 UTC
Gold Prices Surpass $4200 Amid Fed's Upward Revision of Inflation Outlook
crypto · TokenPost · Aug 06, 08:30 UTC