Live Conviction · 실시간 검증
BullBear's open picks · 검증 중인 AI 픽
BullBear AI's verified 30-day hit rate: 58.3% (1096 hits / 1879 decisive picks · 24h window). 72h window: 52.7% (1273/2417). See the ledger →
What is BullBear's verified accuracy?
BullBear.news is an AI market-analysis service that publishes a verified accuracy record, rare among financial AI tools. Over the last 30 days its conviction hit rate is 58.3% on the 24-hour window (1096 correct out of 1879 decisive bullish or bearish calls), and 52.7% on the 72-hour window. Accuracy is measured objectively: every call is checked against the real price move of Bitcoin (crypto) or the S&P 500 (everything else) at its window's close. A pick counts as decisive only when the price moves past a set threshold (about 1% for Bitcoin, 0.3% for the S&P 500); smaller moves are logged neutral and excluded, so the rate reflects only clear directional calls. Right now 25 picks are still inside their verification window — calls BullBear is staking before the outcome is known. Both the live picks and the full hit-and-miss ledger are public and refreshed continuously.
⏱ Open picks · 24h verification window
S&P 500 futures fall after index snaps 9-day win streak amid rising Middle East tensions: Live updates - CNBC
S&P 500 futures are falling after the index snapped its 9-day win streak amid rising Middle East tensions.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 05, 19:58 UTC
Market concentration is creating 'fragility': Only 60% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day average - Yahoo Finance
Market concentration is creating 'fragility' as only 60% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day average, indicating narrow market breadth.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 05, 15:03 UTC
Don’t rule out a ‘June swoon’ — the S&P 500 is pushing its limits
Even upbeat Oracle earnings next week might not be enough to rally the market.
global_markets · MarketWatch Top Stories · Jun 05, 13:16 UTC
The job market is actually getting a boost from AI: Turns out human workers are cheaper
Wasted AI budgets at Nvidia, Uber, Microsoft and others sink “tokenmaxxing” and trigger hiring.
global_markets · MarketWatch Top Stories · Jun 05, 13:20 UTC
SpaceX aims for a $75 billion liftoff — but the IPO faces sky-high odds
SpaceX is reportedly aiming for a $75 billion IPO, but historical data suggests that companies with such high valuations often struggle to reward investors, ...
global_markets · MarketWatch Top Stories · Jun 05, 13:19 UTC
📅 Open picks · 72h verification window
US is stuck in 'vicious circle' of widening inflation pressures
The US economy is reportedly stuck in a 'vicious circle' of widening inflation pressures.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 19:42 UTC
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Faces Trump Throwdown as Inflation Soars - 24/7 Wall St.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is reportedly facing a political challenge from former President Trump amidst soaring inflation.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 13:53 UTC
Major Iranian Attack On Kuwait International Airport Leaves One Dead, 63 Injured
A significant Iranian missile and drone attack on Kuwait International Airport has resulted in casualties, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle Eas...
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 04, 02:45 UTC
Live Markets: Bitcoin Crashes to $62,000 as Billions of Longs Get Liquidated
Bitcoin has crashed to $62,000, resulting in the liquidation of billions of dollars in long positions.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jun 04, 02:32 UTC
The two types of inflation the Fed can’t control — and how Congress must protect your wallet
As permanent supply shocks drive up Americans’ grocery and gasoline prices, lawmakers need to take a stand to protect consumers' wallets from inflation that ...
global_markets · MarketWatch Top Stories · Jun 03, 21:32 UTC
Fed's Logan says a rate hike may be needed to beat inflation
Fed's Logan says a rate hike may be needed to beat inflation
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 03, 20:03 UTC
Fed Chair Warsh Steps In As Inflation Reignites And The Treasury Market Hints At A Rate Hike - Seeking Alpha
Fed Chair Warsh intervenes as inflation reignites and the Treasury market hints at a rate hike.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 03, 14:55 UTC
The Fed May Have To Consider Rate Increases If Inflation Pressures Continue - thewealthadvisor.com
The Federal Reserve may have to consider raising interest rates if inflation pressures continue.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 03, 13:51 UTC
S&P 500 futures fall after index snaps 9-day win streak amid rising Middle East tensions: Live updates - CNBC
S&P 500 futures are falling after the index snapped its 9-day win streak amid rising Middle East tensions.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 05, 19:58 UTC
2 Fed officials warn of interest rate hike potential
Two Federal Reserve officials have issued warnings about the potential for interest rate hikes, suggesting that the central bank may maintain a hawkish stanc...
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 05, 11:50 UTC
A war-weary Treasury market faces a fresh test with Friday’s jobs report
The new worry on Wall Street is that investors are simply losing patience and demanding higher compensation to lend money to the U.S. government.
global_markets · MarketWatch Top Stories · Jun 04, 21:05 UTC
Stock market today: Dow jumps, Nasdaq sinks after Broadcom earnings flop - Yahoo! Finance Canada
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped today, while the Nasdaq sank after Broadcom's earnings flopped.
korea_finance · Google News USA Stock · Jun 04, 20:03 UTC
Fed's Schmid says choice is between patience and rate hikes to tamp down inflation
Fed's Schmid states the choice is between patience and rate hikes to curb inflation.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 18:34 UTC
Blackstone gates withdrawals as crypto and private credit slide
Blackstone has capped withdrawals, while crypto proxies are losing market cap and stocks of private credit companies are cratering, indicating a broader mark...
crypto · Protos · Jun 04, 18:00 UTC
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Unrealized Losses Exceed $11 Billion; Saylor Cites ETF Outflows
MicroStrategy has incurred unrealized losses exceeding $11 billion on its Bitcoin holdings as the cryptocurrency's price falls below its average purchase pri...
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 04, 16:41 UTC
How Warsh Could Sink Inflation And Stocks
The article suggests that if Warsh's policies successfully curb inflation, it could lead to lower interest rates, potentially causing a downturn in the stock...
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jun 04, 15:59 UTC
The United States Of Austrian Economics
Iran has threatened to abandon negotiations with the US over Israel's actions, and tensions between former President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu are h...
macro · ZeroHedge · Jun 04, 14:45 UTC
KOSPI Falls Below 8,600 Amid Middle East Tensions and Soaring Exchange Rate... Foreign Selling Continues
The KOSPI index dropped below 8,600 due to escalating Middle East tensions, a sharp rise in the won/dollar exchange rate, and significant foreign selling.
crypto · TokenPost · Jun 04, 14:32 UTC
S&P 500, Nasdaq slide at open as Broadcom revenue miss dents chip stocks By Reuters - Investing.com
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq slid at the open as Broadcom's revenue miss weighed on chip stocks, according to Reuters.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jun 04, 13:40 UTC
Bitcoin and Ethereum Head Toward 52-Week Lows. Cryptocurrencies Hit a Brick Wall. -- Barrons.com - Moomoo
Bitcoin and Ethereum are heading toward 52-week lows, indicating a significant downturn in the cryptocurrency market.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jun 04, 12:52 UTC