Live Conviction · 실시간 검증
Every call, verified against price
Every bullish or bearish call is checked against the actual price move (BTC for crypto, S&P 500 for everything else) at +24h and +72h — hits and misses both land on the public ledger.
72h window
40.6%
692/1706 decisive
Weekly trend
4-week hit rate · this week 28%
What is BullBear's verified accuracy?
BullBear.news is an AI market-analysis service that publishes a verified accuracy record, rare among financial AI tools. Over the last 30 days its conviction hit rate is 42.6% on the 24-hour window (505 correct out of 1185 decisive bullish or bearish calls), and 40.6% on the 72-hour window. Accuracy is measured objectively: every call is checked against the real price move of the market that story trades in — Bitcoin for crypto, the KOSPI for Korean market news, the S&P 500 otherwise — at its window's close. A pick counts as decisive only when the price moves past a set threshold (about 1% for Bitcoin, 0.9% for the KOSPI, 0.3% for the S&P 500 — roughly 0.6x each index's own median daily move, so 'barely moved' means the same thing on all three); smaller moves are logged neutral and excluded, so the rate reflects only clear directional calls. Right now 34 picks are still inside their verification window — calls BullBear is staking before the outcome is known. Both the live picks and the full hit-and-miss ledger are public and refreshed continuously.
⏱ Open picks · 24h window
JAI S&D Secures 281.7bn KRW Contract for Jinjeop District 4 Residential Project, Stock Expected to Rise
JAI S&D has signed a 281.7 billion‑won contract for a residential project in Jinjeop, Gyeonggi Province, representing about 20% of its latest revenue, raisin...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 28, 00:00 UTC
SK Boosts Stake in SK Signet to 97% – Potential Upside for Stock
SK increased its stake in SK Signet to 97.01%. The massive purchase is likely to have a positive market impact.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 28, 00:00 UTC
Jobs 'AI'pocalypse No! Initial Jobless Claims Hover Near Record Lows
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 12:36 UTC
Quarterly Update on the Ugly Fiscal Condition of the US in Q2 2026
macro · Wolf Street · Aug 28, 02:23 UTC
Qatar And Kuwait Restore 70% Of Pre-War Oil Exports Through Hormuz
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 17:40 UTC
Trade Deficit Surges, Imports Up 3.7 percent, Exports Down 2.9 percent
macro · MishTalk · Aug 27, 17:38 UTC
Trump Considers New Tariffs On Semiconductors - Reports Raise Alarm Could Doom US Dominance
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 13:45 UTC
Samsung Biologics Announces 2.27M Share Rights Issue, Stock Expected to Face Downward Pressure
Samsung Biologics disclosed on 2026‑08‑28 a rights issue of 2,270,000 new shares to raise facility funds of KRW 294.8 billion, using a shareholder‑allocation...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 28, 00:00 UTC
"Most Jobs Will Disappear Forever": Bill Gates Calls For Taxes On AI And Robots To Protect Jobs For Humans
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 21:40 UTC
Average 7Y Auction Stops On Screws As Foreign Demand Drops
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 17:21 UTC
IQure Announces Third-Party Rights Issue, Stock Expected to Fall
IQure filed a major disclosure announcing the issuance of 24,177,949 new shares to raise approximately KRW 25 billion, earmarked for operating capital and de...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 28, 00:00 UTC
Global Youth Unemployment And Inactivity Inch Up Again
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 09:45 UTC
Zelensky's Top Aide Named In Explosive Court Audio In Mudra Corruption Case
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 21:20 UTC
Dollar General Jumps On "Traffic-Led Momentum" As $4 Gas Accelerates Consumer Trade-Down
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 17:20 UTC
📅 Open picks · 72h window
Nvidia Rises After Solid Earnings, Reversing Margin Concerns As Company Guides To 70% 2028 Revenue Growth
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 02:35 UTC
YC Signs KRW 162.15 Billion Semiconductor Test Equipment Supply Contract with Samsung Electronics
YC announced a supply contract worth KRW 162.15 billion for semiconductor test equipment with Samsung Electronics. This represents a significant 59.48% of it...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 27, 00:00 UTC
PCE Inflation on the Hot Side, Lack of Progress in Pictures
macro · MishTalk · Aug 26, 16:42 UTC
JAI S&D Secures 281.7bn KRW Contract for Jinjeop District 4 Residential Project, Stock Expected to Rise
JAI S&D has signed a 281.7 billion‑won contract for a residential project in Jinjeop, Gyeonggi Province, representing about 20% of its latest revenue, raisin...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 28, 00:00 UTC
SK Boosts Stake in SK Signet to 97% – Potential Upside for Stock
SK increased its stake in SK Signet to 97.01%. The massive purchase is likely to have a positive market impact.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 28, 00:00 UTC
Jobs 'AI'pocalypse No! Initial Jobless Claims Hover Near Record Lows
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 12:36 UTC
MX Robotics sees shareholding rise to 37% by MXON, stock may rise
MXON acquired an additional 3,281,473 shares, raising its stake to 37%.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 27, 00:00 UTC
Core PCE Price Index Rises in July, Inflation Pressure Persists
The July core PCE price index rose 0.25% from June to 130.658.
macro · U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Aug 26, 13:20 UTC
Trump Says All Mines Cleared From Strait Of Hormuz, Warns Military Options Still On Table
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 25, 18:40 UTC
Goldman Sounds Alarm: Europe May Need €100 NatGas Shock To Refill Winter Storage
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 25, 08:15 UTC
Quarterly Update on the Ugly Fiscal Condition of the US in Q2 2026
macro · Wolf Street · Aug 28, 02:23 UTC
UniSon Secures 99.3bn KRW Offshore Wind Turbine Supply Deal with Dongchon Wind Power – Shares Expected to Rise
UniSon signed a supply agreement with Dongchon Wind Power for offshore turbines in Jeonbuk, with a contract value exceeding 2.5 times its latest revenue.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 27, 00:00 UTC
EcoSimplex Discloses Total Agro Holds 38.54% Stake, Stock Expected to Rise
Agricultural corporation Total Agro reported holding 5,401,300 shares (38.54%) of EcoSimplex, filing a new report due to a change of reporting representative.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 27, 00:00 UTC
Qatar And Kuwait Restore 70% Of Pre-War Oil Exports Through Hormuz
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 17:40 UTC
Trade Deficit Surges, Imports Up 3.7 percent, Exports Down 2.9 percent
macro · MishTalk · Aug 27, 17:38 UTC
Trump Considers New Tariffs On Semiconductors - Reports Raise Alarm Could Doom US Dominance
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 13:45 UTC
Waste Of The Day: Deficit Could Surpass $2 Trillion
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 27, 00:55 UTC
DL Secures 489 bn KRW ICN11 Data Center Contract, Stock Expected to Rise
DL (000210) signed a 489 billion‑won construction contract for the ICN11 Data Center in Gimpo, Gyeonggi. The deal represents roughly 5.9% of its latest revenue.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 27, 00:00 UTC
TopTech signs 21.1bn KRW REEV battery assembly line deal with MOBIS North America
TopTech has secured a 21.1bn KRW battery assembly line supply contract with MOBIS North America.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 27, 00:00 UTC
Fidelix signs 12.4bn KRW memory chip supply deal with Alliance Memory, stock may rise
Fidelix has signed a KRW 12.4bn supply agreement with US memory‑chip firm Alliance Memory. The contract equals 23.1% of its latest revenue, raising expectati...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 27, 00:00 UTC