Live Conviction · 실시간 검증
BullBear's open picks · 검증 중인 AI 픽
BullBear AI's verified 30-day hit rate: 56.2% (1637 hits / 2911 decisive picks · 24h window). 72h window: 51.2% (1876/3661). See the ledger →
What is BullBear's verified accuracy?
BullBear.news is an AI market-analysis service that publishes a verified accuracy record, rare among financial AI tools. Over the last 30 days its conviction hit rate is 56.2% on the 24-hour window (1637 correct out of 2911 decisive bullish or bearish calls), and 51.2% on the 72-hour window. Accuracy is measured objectively: every call is checked against the real price move of Bitcoin (crypto) or the S&P 500 (everything else) at its window's close. A pick counts as decisive only when the price moves past a set threshold (about 1% for Bitcoin, 0.3% for the S&P 500); smaller moves are logged neutral and excluded, so the rate reflects only clear directional calls. Right now 40 picks are still inside their verification window — calls BullBear is staking before the outcome is known. Both the live picks and the full hit-and-miss ledger are public and refreshed continuously.
⏱ Open picks · 24h verification window
ChatGPT-5.5 sets timeline when quantum computers will break Bitcoin’s encryption - Cryptonews.net
ChatGPT-5.5 has set a timeline for when quantum computers are expected to break Bitcoin's encryption.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 21:52 UTC
[Midnight News Briefing] Reserve Bank of India (RBI) recommends control level close to prohibition for crypto assets and private stableco...
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has recommended a control strategy close to a ban on crypto assets and privately issued stablecoins. The RBI argued that regu...
crypto · TokenPost · Jul 03, 14:30 UTC
Bitcoin News: A Weak Jobs Report Just Slashed Fed Rate Hike Odds in Half, And Bitcoin Bounced Off $57,750 to Reclaim $61,000
A weak jobs report significantly reduced the odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike, leading to a bounce in Bitcoin from $57,750 to above $61,000.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 09:38 UTC
June Jobs Report 2026: Weak Hiring Shifts Fed Rate Cut Expectations - Intellectia AI
June Jobs Report 2026: Weak Hiring Shifts Fed Rate Cut Expectations
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jul 04, 00:13 UTC
Bitcoin eyes macro jump to $70K after drop below $60k – What’s next for BTC?
Bitcoin is looking to make a macro jump to $70K after dropping below $60k, with its next move being closely watched.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 22:21 UTC
Morning News Briefing: Mopo Association Raises $175 Million Led by Paradigm & a16z Crypto, etc.
The Mopo Association has raised $175 million in a funding round led by Paradigm and a16z Crypto, and listed companies are net buying Bitcoin.
crypto · TokenPost · Jul 03, 19:50 UTC
Apple Intelligence Fails To Ignite "Upgrade Activity," UBS Says
Apple Intelligence is not yet moving the needle or exciting the customer base the way Wall Street had expected when analysts pitched AI as the spark for a ne...
macro · ZeroHedge · Jul 03, 11:35 UTC
Bitcoin rally hinges on whether the Fed buys into the weak jobs report after bad miss
The continuation of Bitcoin's rally depends on how the Federal Reserve interprets the weak jobs report.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 11:05 UTC
[Click Market] Fed Rate Hike Justification Disappears... KOSPI Soars Over 5% Led by Institutions - Gonggon News
[Click Market] The justification for the Fed to raise interest rates has disappeared, leading to a over 5% surge in the KOSPI index, driven by institutional ...
korea_finance · Google News Korea Finance · Jul 03, 08:27 UTC
Live Updates: More Bitcoin Is Now Held at a Loss Than at a Profit - Moomoo
More Bitcoin is currently held at a loss than at a profit.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 07:14 UTC
Bitmain Immersion Holds 5.7 Million ETH, Achieving 93% of Target
Bitmain Immersion has increased its Ethereum holdings to 5.7 million ETH, reaching 93% of its target, which is viewed positively in anticipation of rising de...
crypto · TokenPost · Jul 03, 23:02 UTC
Polymarket Traders Give Bitcoin Just 21% Odds of Hitting $70K in July, Even as ETF Money Returns
Polymarket traders are assigning only a 21% probability for Bitcoin to reach $70K in July, despite the return of ETF inflows.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 22:04 UTC
Bitcoin’s 14% Q2 drop came as stablecoin market contracts for first time since 2023
Bitcoin experienced a 14% drop in Q2, coinciding with the first contraction of the stablecoin market since 2023, suggesting a potential decrease in liquidity...
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 22:02 UTC
Why is Bitcoin falling? Inflation, ETF outflows and the Fed: Explained | Hindustan Times
Bitcoin's price decline is attributed to persistent inflation, outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance. These facto...
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jul 03, 20:01 UTC
CryptoQuant says bitcoin and altcoin exchange deposits have spiked, indicating higher volatility ahead
CryptoQuant says bitcoin and altcoin exchange deposits have spiked, indicating higher volatility ahead
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 17:55 UTC
Nasdaq 100 Futures Rebound Strongly After Yesterday's Decline. Wall Street Investment Banks Believe the U.S. Stock Rally Still Has Legs.
Nasdaq 100 futures showed a strong rebound after yesterday's decline, with Wall Street investment banks believing the U.S. stock rally still has room to grow.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jul 03, 17:07 UTC
US President Donald Trump earned $1.4 billion from crypto in 2025, mainly via World Liberty Financial and his TRUMP meme coin. Meanwhile,...
Despite Donald Trump reportedly earning $1.4 billion from crypto in 2025, Bitcoin has crashed over 50% from its all-time high, with most major cryptocurrenci...
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 17:02 UTC
Bitcoin ETFs see biggest inflow since May after weak US jobs report sparks BTC price rebound - CryptoSlate
Bitcoin ETFs experienced their largest inflows since May, following a weak US jobs report that triggered a rebound in Bitcoin's price.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 16:05 UTC
Can Ethereum Price Hit $62,000? We Assess Tom Lee's Bull Case as He Renews Bold ETH Predictions - CCN.com
Can Ethereum Price Hit $62,000? We Assess Tom Lee's Bull Case as He Renews Bold ETH Predictions
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 15:08 UTC
JUST IN: Tiger Research turns bullish on Bitcoin, saying the worst of the bear market has most likely already happened. 👀
Tiger Research has turned bullish on Bitcoin, stating that the worst of the bear market has most likely already passed.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 13:27 UTC
📅 Open picks · 72h verification window
From 1.8% to 7%! Is the Fed’s 'rate cut or hike' merely an inflation-driven multiple-choice question? - Moomoo
From 1.8% to 7%! Is the Fed’s 'rate cut or hike' merely an inflation-driven multiple-choice question?
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jul 02, 06:07 UTC
Trump Briefed On All-Out War Plans, Still Eyes Diplomacy, As Iran Reminds US: 'Muzzle Your Pets In Tel Aviv'
President Trump was briefed on potential war plans with Iran, but also indicated a continued interest in diplomacy, while Iran issued a provocative statement...
macro · ZeroHedge · Jul 02, 10:14 UTC
Fed expected to hold interest rates through 2026 amid inflation concerns - Crypto Briefing
Fed expected to hold interest rates through 2026 amid inflation concerns.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jul 02, 06:19 UTC
ChatGPT-5.5 sets timeline when quantum computers will break Bitcoin’s encryption - Cryptonews.net
ChatGPT-5.5 has set a timeline for when quantum computers are expected to break Bitcoin's encryption.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 21:52 UTC
[Midnight News Briefing] Reserve Bank of India (RBI) recommends control level close to prohibition for crypto assets and private stableco...
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has recommended a control strategy close to a ban on crypto assets and privately issued stablecoins. The RBI argued that regu...
crypto · TokenPost · Jul 03, 14:30 UTC
Bitcoin News: A Weak Jobs Report Just Slashed Fed Rate Hike Odds in Half, And Bitcoin Bounced Off $57,750 to Reclaim $61,000
A weak jobs report significantly reduced the odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike, leading to a bounce in Bitcoin from $57,750 to above $61,000.
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 03, 09:38 UTC
[International Finance Briefing] US June employment increased by only 57,000... Rate hike outlook retreats, dollar weakens 0.52%
US non-farm payrolls in June fell significantly short of expectations, leading to a retreat in rate hike outlook. The dollar weakened, and AI, Middle East, a...
crypto · TokenPost · Jul 03, 04:08 UTC
Weak June Jobs Report Silences Calls for the Fed to Hike Rates. For Now. - Barron's
The weak June Jobs Report silences calls for the Fed to hike rates, for now.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jul 02, 19:21 UTC
Yen slides to new 40-year low while Dow futures ease after strongest first half in five years
The Japanese Yen has slid to a new 40-year low, while Dow futures are easing after the strongest first half in five years.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market (EN) · Jul 02, 16:17 UTC
Economy Adds Only 57,000 Jobs in June, Huge Negative Revisions
The US economy added only 57,000 jobs in June, with prior months' figures revised down by a significant 507,000. The unemployment rate fell as the labor forc...
macro · MishTalk · Jul 02, 15:43 UTC
KOSPI Crumbles Below 8,000 as Semiconductor Stock Plunge Spreads Selling Pressure
The South Korean stock market experienced a sharp decline on the 2nd, with a surge of selling pressure centered on large semiconductor stocks, causing the KO...
crypto · TokenPost · Jul 02, 13:14 UTC
The Very Thing Wash Fears—The Fed's Nightmare for Bitcoin Suddenly Becomes Reality
Higher-than-expected inflation figures from the US Federal Reserve and the potential for delayed interest rate cuts are proving to be a nightmare for risk as...
crypto · Google News Bitcoin (EN) · Jul 02, 13:05 UTC
Fed's Daly: There is a scenario where Fed has to fight inflation - FXStreet
Fed's Daly: There is a scenario where Fed has to fight inflation FXStreet
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jul 02, 12:46 UTC
KOSPI Plunges 7%, Breaks Below 8,000 Mark... Impact of Semiconductor Stock Slump
The KOSPI plummeted over 7% in a single day, falling below the 8,000 mark, and the KOSDAQ also dropped below 900, confirming strong selling pressure across t...
crypto · TokenPost · Jul 02, 11:24 UTC
[마감] 메타發 반도체 쇼크에 코스피 7.89% 급락…7600선 위태 By 알파경제 alphabiz - Investing.com 한국어
The KOSPI plummeted 7.89% due to a semiconductor shock stemming from Meta's performance, putting the 7600 level at risk.
global_markets · Google News Stock Market · Jul 02, 09:59 UTC
In Sintra, world's central bankers find ally in new Fed chief
Central bankers at a forum in Sintra found a collaborative ally in the new Fed chief.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jul 02, 08:22 UTC
[Domestic Stock Market Opening] KOSPI, KOSDAQ Fall Sharply, Won-Dollar Exchange Rate Rises
As of the opening on the 7th, the KOSPI index has fallen by 5.78% to 7,823.31 and the KOSDAQ index by 4.65% to 886.18, while the won-dollar exchange rate is ...
crypto · TokenPost · Jul 02, 00:30 UTC
【Morning Report】Fed Chair Waller: 'Inflation Risks Have Diminished'; Micron and GM Sign Semiconductor Supply Deal; Meta Surges 8.8% - Moomoo
Fed Chair Waller stated that inflation risks have diminished, Micron and GM signed a semiconductor supply deal, and Meta surged 8.8%.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jul 01, 22:54 UTC
Eurozone Inflation Slows...ECB Likely to Freeze Rates in July
Eurozone inflation slowed more than expected in June, increasing the likelihood that the European Central Bank (ECB) will hold interest rates steady in July....
crypto · TokenPost · Jul 01, 19:04 UTC
Fed Chair Warsh Says Inflation Is Too High, But Risks Have Diminished Lately
Fed Chair Warsh stated that inflation is too high, but noted that the risks have diminished lately.
macro · Google News Macroeconomics (EN) · Jul 01, 17:57 UTC