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Accuracy Ledger · 정확도 공개 장부

The last 30 days — every pick, every outcome

BullBear AI made 823 conviction picks in the last 30 days. Of the 401 picks the market moved decisively on (24h window), 214 hit and 187 missed — a hit rate of 53.4%. 422 additional picks were classified neutral (price moved less than ±1% BTC / ±0.3% S&P).

24h window · 30 days

53.4%

214 hits / 401 decisive · 422 neutral excluded

72h window · 30 days

58.8%

336 hits / 571 decisive · 191 neutral excluded

Daily breakdown (24h window) — hits (green) · misses (red) · neutrals (gray)

Each column = 1 day. Hover/tap for date breakdown. Source: outcome_evaluated_at bucket.

📋 Verified picks · last 30 days · 24h window

Outcome Stance Move Score Story
hit BEAR -1.15% 75 Treasury yields hit 12-month high, Bitcoin stalls - crypto.news
hit BEAR -1.09% 80 Top cryptocurrencies fall; Bitcoin drops below $80,000 - MSN
hit BEAR -1.09% 90 Everything selling off: BTC, ETH, Silver, SP500, Nasdaq—where's money going? ...
hit BEAR -1.09% 75 Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH risks a long squeeze as rising Treasury yields w...
miss BULL -1.09% 65 Lombard Finance Dumps LayerZero, Will Use Chainlink to Power $1 Billion in Bi...
miss BULL -1.4% 60 Gemini Stock Jumps After Winklevoss Twins Make $100M Bitcoin Bet On Company F...
hit BEAR -1.4% 60 Bitcoin Depot Flashes Bankruptcy Warning as ATM Revenue Falls, Regulatory Scr...
hit BEAR -1.4% 60 Bitcoin Depot Flashes Bankruptcy Warning as ATM Revenue Falls, Regulatory Scr...
hit BEAR -1.4% 80 Ripple (XRP), Solana (SOL), and Ethereum (ETH) are Down as Bitcoin (BTC) Slip...
hit BEAR -1.4% 80 Ripple (XRP), Solana (SOL), and Ethereum (ETH) are Down as Bitcoin (BTC) Slip...
hit BEAR -1.4% 80 Ripple (XRP), Solana (SOL), and Ethereum (ETH) are Down as Bitcoin (BTC) Slip...
miss BEAR 2.78% 65 Crypto firms put IPO plans on ice as listed companies tank
miss BULL -1.4% 65 Lombard migrates over $1 billion in Bitcoin backed assets to Chainlink CCIP -...
hit BEAR -1.4% 60 NVIDIA-linked stock sinks after $3 billion capital raise
miss BULL -1.4% 65 Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction: ETH Tight Range Signals a 10% Breakout as $2...
hit BULL 3.13% 80 Charles Schwab Begins Offering Bitcoin, Ethereum Trading to US Users - Decrypt
hit BULL 3.13% 60 How Michael Saylor's STRC Causes Mid-Month Bitcoin Rallies - Yahoo Finance
miss BULL -1.11% 65 Trump's latest filing reveals surprise crypto stock purchases - thestreet.com
hit BEAR -1.11% 75 Why Polymarket Now Gives Strategy 82% Odds of Selling Bitcoin (BTC) This Year...
hit BEAR -1.11% 65 Why Polymarket Now Gives Strategy 82% Odds of Selling Bitcoin (BTC) This Year...
miss BULL -1.2% 80 SaintQuant Launches AI Trading Bots as Bitcoin Surges Past $82K and Instituti...
hit BEAR -1.2% 85 Bitcoin Falls Below $79,000 as Treasury Yields Surge, Inflation Fears Mount -...
hit BEAR -1.2% 80 Bitcoin price dives under $79K as US bond market triggers 3% BTC price rout -...
miss BULL -1.2% 85 Bitcoin News: Strategy Repurchases $1.5 Billion in Convertible Debt and Buys ...
miss BULL -1.2% 75 The Trump Family Trust Bought Bitcoin-Linked Stocks In First Quarter: Filing ...
hit BEAR -1.2% 70 Bitcoin price dives under $79K as US bond market triggers 3% BTC price rout -...
miss BULL -1.33% 60 Gemini Stock Jumps on Revenue Rise, $100M Bitcoin Investment From Winklevoss ...
hit BEAR -1.33% 65 Strategy’s $1.5B debt buyback signals pressure on Bitcoin treasury model - AM...
hit BEAR -1.33% 70 Bitcoin Rejected at $80K as Inflation Fears Outweigh CLARITY Act Progress: We...
hit BEAR -1.33% 75 Bitcoin and crypto industry can’t hold CLARITY Act bump as it heads to Senate...
miss BULL -1.33% 60 Ethereum Price Reaching $4,000 Isn’t A Moonshot, Here’s What It Is
hit BEAR -1.33% 90 Bitcoin Dips Below $79,000 as Inflation Fears Hit Risk Assets - Bloomberg.com
hit BEAR -1.33% 80 Bitcoin Tumbles Below $79,000 as Rising Bond Yields, Inflation Worries Rattle...
hit BEAR -1.33% 70 Bitcoin falls below $79,000 amid bond yield, inflation concerns
neutral BULL -0.42% 85 $11.77 Trillion Brokerage Giant Charles Schwab Launches Spot Bitcoin Trading ...
neutral BEAR -0.42% 75 BlackRock transfers BTC, ETH worth $172M to Coinbase amid ETF redemptions - S...
hit BEAR -3.07% 70 Bitcoin Shrugs off CLARITY gains as Institutions Sell Amid Surging Treasury Y...
hit BEAR -3.07% 70 Strategy Plans Major Note Repurchase While Leaving Door Open to Bitcoin Sales...
hit BEAR -3.07% 75 THORchain exploited for $10.8 million
hit BEAR -3.07% 70 Strategy to retire $1.5 billion in convertible notes at a discount, may sell ...
hit BEAR -3.07% 70 Michael Saylor Opened The Door To Bitcoin Sales — Now Strategy Is Buying Back...
hit BEAR -3.07% 70 Bitcoin Hits Resistance Despite Clarity Act Progress -- Market Talk - Moomoo
hit BEAR -3.07% 70 Strategy may sell Bitcoin to fund $1.5B convertible note buyback - Crypto Bri...
hit BEAR -2.93% 60 Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP cool, testing key support levels - FXStreet
miss BULL -2.93% 75 XRP, BNB outperform Bitcoin after CLARITY Act clears Senate Banking Committee...
miss BULL -2.93% 65 Bitcoin’s next upgrade won’t be quantum. It could be the Great Consensus Clea...
miss BULL -2.93% 75 Strategy’s Preferred Stock Funds 11,707 Bitcoin Purchases
miss BULL -2.93% 80 Why the CLARITY Act’s Bipartisan Support Could Change Everything for Bitcoin ...
miss BULL -2.93% 65 Bit Digital deepens Ethereum and AI infrastructure push in Q1 - Yahoo Finance
miss BULL -3.16% 70 Strategy’s Main Bitcoin Acquisition Vehicle Sees Massive $1.5B Trading Explos...
miss BULL -3.16% 60 Will Bitcoin price break $100K as golden cross looms? - crypto.news
miss BULL -3.16% 85 XRP, DOGE surge 5%, bitcoin above $81,000 as CLARITY Act clears Senate bankin...
hit BEAR -3.16% 60 THORChain exploit hits Bitcoin, Ethereum, and BSC – Hackers steal over $10 ml...
hit BEAR -3.16% 60 Bitcoin risks ‘next downtrend’ as traders diverge on fate of $82K resistance ...
miss BULL -3.16% 80 Bitcoin Holds $80,000, Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin Edge Higher As Clarity Act Boo...
miss BULL -3.16% 75 XRP, BNB Outperform Bitcoin After CLARITY Act Clears Senate Banking Committee...
miss BULL -1.94% 80 Charles Schwab begins U.S. rollout of spot crypto trading for retail customer...
hit BEAR -3.5% 70 Thorchain Exploit Drains $7.4M Across Bitcoin, Ethereum, BSC, and Base - Coin...
miss BULL -3.5% 70 Bitcoin Reclaims $81,000 After CLARITY Vote as JPMorgan Says It's Winning the...
miss BULL -2.56% 75 Senate Banking Committee votes on Clarity Act, favoring Bitcoin and Coinbase ...
miss BULL -2.56% 75 Strategy’s STRC hits record volume as trading helps fund 11,707 BTC buy
hit BEAR -2.56% 65 Stock Market Hits New Highs While Bitcoin, Crypto Lag—Analysts Offer Differen...
hit BEAR -2.56% 60 $2.6 Billion in Bitcoin, ETH, XRP, Solana Options Expire Today, Experts Raise...
miss BULL -1.68% 80 Charles Schwab Launches Bitcoin and Ethereum Trading for Selected U.S. Client...
hit BEAR -3.06% 60 Bit Digital reports 14% revenue drop in Q1, driven by lower ETH staking rewar...
hit BEAR -2.79% 65 Ethereum To $5,000? Muted Predictions As JPMorgan Claims ETH Will Stay Behind...
miss BULL -2.79% 75 Strategy’s STRC hits $1.53B volume amid fresh Bitcoin treasury push
miss BULL -2.79% 60 As U.S. stock market valuation nears dot-com peak, bitcoin (BTC) price looks ...
hit BEAR -2.79% 60 JPMorgan Predicts Ethereum Will Lag Behind Bitcoin
miss BULL -2.79% 75 CLARITY Act Clears Senate Banking Committee: Bull Run for Bitcoin, XRP, and D...
miss BULL -2.79% 65 BitGo wins Moon deal to scale Bitcoin card products in Asia - crypto.news
hit BEAR -2.79% 80 Bitcoin Falls on Iran War Tensions, U.S. Rate-Rise Bets -- Market Talk - Moomoo
hit BEAR -3.06% 60 Ethereum TD Sequential Flashes Sell Signal – Is A New 50% Corrective Phase St...
miss BULL -3.06% 80 Why Is Crypto Going Up? Clarity Act Pushes XRP Price to 2-Month High as Bitco...
hit BEAR -3.06% 60 Ethereum To $5,000? Muted Predictions As JPMorgan Claims ETH Will Stay Behind...
miss BULL -2.3% 75 Top Altcoins To Stack As Bitcoin Price Rallies Above $80K - Coinpedia
miss BULL -2.3% 75 Top Altcoins To Stack As Bitcoin Price Rallies Above $80K - TradingView
miss BULL -2.3% 65 Top Altcoins To Stack As Bitcoin Price Rallies Above $80K
miss BULL -2.3% 75 Ethereum Price Holds $2,290 While Schwab Opens Crypto Trading and Pepeto Cros...
hit BEAR -2.3% 65 Ethereum upgrades may not be enough to lift Ether, JPMorgan warns - crypto.news
miss BULL -1.67% 70 Bitcoin Exchange Supply Drops to 5.6%, Lowest Since 2018 - bloomingbit
miss BULL -2.31% 80 Charles Schwab launches spot BTC, ETH trading to select retail clients - The ...
miss BULL -2.29% 65 XRP, DOGE Surge 5%, Bitcoin Above $81,000 as CLARITY Act Clears Senate Bankin...
miss BULL -2.74% 60 Bitcoin sellers stay quiet as losses peak at 15% – What this means for BTC - ...
miss BULL -2.71% 70 Coinbase CEO predicts global Bitcoin legalization after US market structure p...
miss BULL -2.71% 65 The Jane Street Agenda? Ethereum (ETH) Identified As Next Key Target By Exper...
hit BEAR -2.71% 60 Bitcoin Falls Below $80,000: Coinbase Sellers To Blame? - TradingView
miss BULL -2.71% 85 Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin Jump After Crypto Act Passes Key Senate Vote...
miss BULL -2.6% 75 CryptoQuant’s bitcoin bull-bear cycle indicator turns green for the first tim...
miss BULL -2.6% 85 Analyst Reveals What CLARITY Act Passing Today Means for Bitcoin, Ethereum an...
miss BULL -2.6% 85 Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin Jump After Crypto Act Passes Key Senate Vote...
miss BULL -2.6% 85 Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin Jump After Crypto Act Passes Key Senate Vote...
miss BULL -2.97% 65 Bitcoin To $150,000? Investor Says Clarity Act May Ignite Massive Rally - Tra...
miss BULL -2.97% 90 Bitcoin price (BTC USD) surges above $82,000 after major US crypto bill clear...
miss BULL -2.97% 85 JPMorgan’s New Ethereum Money Market Fund Might Change The Case For Investing...
miss BULL -2.9% 75 Clarity Act clears Senate as Bitcoin hits $82K - crypto.news
miss BULL -2.9% 80 Strategy’s Michael Saylor plans aggressive Bitcoin purchases over next four y...
hit BEAR -2.89% 60 Ethereum Price Forecast: Network activity drops as prices stay muted - FXStreet
hit BEAR -2.89% 75 Ethereum News: Tom Lee’s BitMine Just Slashed ETH Buying by 74%, Here’s What ...
hit BEAR -2.89% 70 Ethereum News: Tom Lee’s BitMine Just Slashed ETH Buying by 74%, Here’s What ...