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Accuracy Ledger · 정확도 공개 장부

The last 30 days — every pick, every outcome

BullBear AI made 2161 conviction picks in the last 30 days. Of the 1167 picks the market moved decisively on (24h window), 491 hit and 676 missed — a hit rate of 42.1%. 994 additional picks were classified neutral (price moved less than ±1% BTC / ±0.9% KOSPI / ±0.3% S&P — roughly 0.6x each index's own median daily move).

24h window · 30 days

42.1%

491 hits / 1167 decisive · 994 neutral excluded

72h window · 30 days

40.5%

673 hits / 1662 decisive · 437 neutral excluded

Daily breakdown (24h window) — hits (green) · misses (red) · neutrals (gray)

Each column = 1 publish-day. Hover/tap for date breakdown. Picks published the same day about the same asset share one market outcome, so a column is roughly one independent observation.

📋 Verified picks · last 30 days · 24h window

Outcome Stance Move Score Story
hit ▲ Bull 0.71% 85 Nvidia Rises After Solid Earnings, Reversing Margin Concerns As Company Guide...
miss ▼ Bear 0.72% 75 Waste Of The Day: Deficit Could Surpass $2 Trillion
neutral ▲ Bull -0.23% 60 Kyobo 15th SPAC sees 5.32% stake taken by Park Chan‑hyuk, stock may rise
hit ▲ Bull 2.34% 70 DL&E&C Secures ICN11 Data Center Construction Contract, Stock Expected to Rise
neutral ▲ Bull 0.95% 80 MX Robotics sees shareholding rise to 37% by MXON, stock may rise
miss ▲ Bull -1.51% 65 Playwith Sees Stake Increase to 38.11% by Dream Ark Korea
miss ▲ Bull -1.42% 75 DL Secures 489 bn KRW ICN11 Data Center Contract, Stock Expected to Rise
hit ▲ Bull 9.04% 78 UniSon Secures 99.3bn KRW Offshore Wind Turbine Supply Deal with Dongchon Win...
miss ▲ Bull -1.92% 85 YC Signs KRW 162.15 Billion Semiconductor Test Equipment Supply Contract with...
neutral ▼ Bear -0.74% 70 KG Mobility Decides on KRW 154.5bn Convertible Bond Issue, Stock May Face Dow...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.67% 75 Semyeong Electric Signs 7.4B KRW HVDC Supply Deal with Korea Electric Industr...
neutral ▲ Bull -0.97% 70 DaArtI Secures 21.26bn KRW Signal Equipment Contract for Wirye Line, Shares E...
hit ▲ Bull 10.06% 68 Sebo M&C Secures 71.3B KRW Pipework Contract with Samsung A&E – Stock Expecte...
miss ▲ Bull -2.75% 75 Fidelix signs 12.4bn KRW memory chip supply deal with Alliance Memory, stock ...
miss ▲ Bull -1.46% 65 Innomedry Signs 4.95 Billion KRW Contract for EV Battery Inspection Equipment
miss ▼ Bear 2.54% 75 Silk Investment Purpose Company Sells All Holdings in Silicon2
neutral ▲ Bull 0.2% 65 COWINTECH Signs 8.45 bn KRW ESS‑Robot Supply Deal with DFS
hit ▲ Bull 1.29% 65 HLB Panajin: Major Shareholder HLB Boosts Stake to 20.82% via Market Purchase
neutral ▲ Bull 0.45% 75 Hansung CleanTech Signs 17.2 Billion KRW Ultra-Pure Water Facility Supply Con...
hit ▼ Bear -3.51% 75 NanoCMS Major Shareholder Stake Drops Sharply, Stock Likely to Face Downward ...
neutral ▲ Bull -1.61% 75 HLB Innovation Gains 0.05% Point Stake Increase via Insider Purchase, Stock E...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.06% 78 EcoSimplex Discloses Total Agro Holds 38.54% Stake, Stock Expected to Rise
hit ▲ Bull 2.84% 75 TopTech signs 21.1bn KRW REEV battery assembly line deal with MOBIS North Ame...
miss ▼ Bear 0.72% 75 Chinese Hackers Broke Into NASA, Federal Reserve, DOJ & Senate: FBI Announces
miss ▼ Bear 2.11% 60 Term Finance loses $8.5 million to governance attack
miss ▼ Bear 0.49% 75 US Universities Had Extensive Ties With Chinese Defense Research Labs, Air Fo...
miss ▼ Bear 2.22% 65 Coinbase CEO Considers Joining California Exodus Over "Deeply Un-American" We...
miss ▼ Bear 0.86% 85 PCE Inflation on the Hot Side, Lack of Progress in Pictures
miss ▼ Bear 0.35% 65 "This Is Crazy" - FTC Chair Responds To Soaring Chip Costs, Floats Possible A...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 80 Core PCE Price Index Rises in July, Inflation Pressure Persists
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 68 July PCE Inflation Rate Slows, Fed Rate Cut Expectations Slightly Rise
miss ▼ Bear 1.3% 60 Coinbase and Brian Armstrong are threatening to leave California… again
neutral ▼ Bear 0.0% 75 Zelensky Continues To Oppose Wartime Democracy Amidst Escalated Election Demands
neutral ▼ Bear 0.0% 75 Pitch For Defense Treaty And Moving US Military To Israel Is Insane
neutral ▼ Bear 0.0% 75 DEA Seized 47 Million Fentanyl-Laced Counterfeit Pills In 2025
miss ▲ Bull -2.9% 75 Hankook Precision Machinery Signs KRW 7.8 Billion Aircraft Parts Supply Contr...
neutral ▼ Bear 0.0% 65 Treasury Issues New Iranian Sanctions Rule, Market Pressure Downward
miss ▲ Bull -1.57% 65 Iljin Power Signs 15.66 Billion KRW Power Plant Maintenance Contract with Kor...
miss ▲ Bull -1.91% 75 Kumho E&C Secures Gumi Natural Gas Power Plant Construction Order, Stock Pric...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.99% 65 MachinaRocks Secures 2.35 Billion KRW Contract for AI OS Supply
neutral ▲ Bull 0.43% 65 Tomato System Signs 3.54 Billion KRW Contract with Seoil University for All-C...
hit ▲ Bull 25.31% 75 Keyeast Signs 22.5 Billion KRW Contract for KBS Historical Drama 'Munmu' Prod...
miss ▲ Bull -7.26% 75 Huons Decides to Absorb Huons Lab, Expectation for Bio Business Strengthening
neutral ▲ Bull 0.4% 60 BioToxTech Major Shareholder Increases Stake by 0.08%p, Boosting Stock Outlook
miss ▲ Bull -1.7% 75 UID, Park Jong-soo Increases Stake by 6.63%p via On-Market Purchases
miss ▲ Bull -3.05% 75 CE Lab Secures 3.89 Billion KRW Contract for NVIDIA H200 NVL Supply
hit ▲ Bull 3.13% 70 Seohui Construction Secures 395.4bn KRW Apartment Build Contract, Stock Expec...
miss ▲ Bull -3.6% 65 SK Gas to Absorb SK Advanced, Expecting Propane Business Synergy
miss ▲ Bull -1.06% 68 Miri Capital Boosts Stake in Korean Alcohol to 14.19%, Shares Expected to Rise
neutral ▲ Bull 0.66% 65 GenComm Signs KRW 2.8 Billion Helicopter Intercom Supply Contract with KAI
neutral ▲ Bull 0.68% 75 Dong-A Geo Wins 105.3 Billion KRW Contract for Bujeon-Masan Double-Track Rail...
neutral ▲ Bull -0.06% 75 SG Healthcare Secures Major Uzbekistan Medical Equipment Supply Deal, Shares ...
neutral ▲ Bull -0.43% 75 Geumhwa PSC Signs 33 Billion KRW Water Treatment Facility Contract with KHNP
neutral ▼ Bear 0.0% 60 A Teachers' Union Hits The Wrong Target
neutral ▲ Bull 0.22% 75 Amazon's New Warehouses May Process Packages 2.5 Times Faster With Far Fewer ...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.1% 80 Trump Says All Mines Cleared From Strait Of Hormuz, Warns Military Options St...
neutral ▲ Bull -0.04% 70 Stellar 2Y Auction Stops Through On Most Foreign Buying Since March 2025
neutral ▼ Bear -0.04% 68 Canada Retaliates, Slaps $20 Billion In Tariffs On 700 US Goods
neutral ▼ Bear 0.01% 70 Trump Admin Proposes New $100K H-1B Fee To Offset Immigration Enforcement Costs
miss ▼ Bear 0.32% 68 Death Of Europe's Industrial Base: 140,000 VW Jobs At Risk As Union Brands Tu...
miss ▼ Bear 0.32% 75 GDPNow Forecast Is 4 Miles High and Falling fast
miss ▼ Bear 0.32% 80 Goldman Sounds Alarm: Europe May Need €100 NatGas Shock To Refill Winter Storage
miss ▼ Bear 0.32% 75 World's Largest Refiner Says China's Oil Demand "Very Likely Peaked Last Year"
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 78 Korea Precision Machinery Surpasses 54% Stake After Insider On‑Market Purchas...
miss ▼ Bear 0.32% 80 OFAC Sanctions Notice Triggers Expected Market Risk-Off
miss ▼ Bear 0.32% 65 OFAC Sanctions Action Notice Triggers Expected Market Downward Pressure
neutral ▼ Bear 0.0% 75 Smart Radar Systems reports 5.13 percentage‑point drop in major shareholder’s...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 70 Morgan Stanley Files New >5% Stake in Daehan Shipping, Stock Expected to Rise
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 65 Woojin B&G: Kang Jae-gu Holds 30.91%, Increases Stake by 0.5%p
neutral ▲ Bull 0.35% 65 Globon Signs 2.6 Billion KRW MOP Supply Contract with Philippine Fertilizer C...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 65 ESTRAFFIC Signs Contract for Railway Automation Facility Construction in Los ...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 65 Daedong, Kim Jun-sik and related parties purchase shares on-market, boosting ...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 78 Seoul Auction sees insider stake rise above 30% as special relationship holdi...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 65 Linksolution Signs 655 Million KRW Contract with Hanwha Aerospace for Additiv...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 65 Linksolution Signs 655 Million KRW Contract with Hanwha Aerospace for Combust...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 78 U-Won Development Secures ₩39.6bn Cheongna Extension Contract, Stock Likely t...
hit ▲ Bull 0.32% 60 Treasury’s OFAC Issues Sanctions Notice; Markets Expected to Rise
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 65 Atech Mobility: Shin Seung-young, a Special Shareholder, Increases Stake by 1...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 65 Nota Secures 1.47bn KRW Industrial Complex Infrastructure Contract, Stock Exp...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 75 Semyeong Electric Signs KRW 9.3 Billion Contract for HVDC Insulators and Cond...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 75 Woowon Development Signs 54.3 Billion KRW Contract for Shinbundang Line Const...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 65 Pyeonghwa Holdings Increases Stake in Pyeonghwa Industry by 1.38%
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 78 YesTea Secures $13.2M Semiconductor Equipment Deal with Samsung, Stock Expect...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 68 Hanshin Engineering Secures ₩103.5bn Housing Redevelopment Contract, Stock Ex...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 65 Han Sung-ho Secures 55.61% Stake in FNC Entertainment Following Related Party...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 60 ICD Signs 10.4 Billion Won FPD Manufacturing Equipment Supply Contract
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 75 Top Engineering Insider Increases Stake to 28.87% After 0.22%p Purchase
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 65 Sejin TS Decides on Treasury Stock Acquisition to Enhance Shareholder Value
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 60 ELP (063760) Increases Stake via On‑Market Purchase, Shares Expected to Rise
hit ▲ Bull 5.55% 75 Aspllo signs 29.8B KRW single‑supply deal with overseas semiconductor equipme...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 60 BQ AI Major Shareholder Im Kyung-hwan Boosts Stake by 0.85%p via Open‑Market ...
miss ▼ Bear 0.32% 80 Supreme Court Backs Trump's Mail-In Ballot Overhaul
neutral ▼ Bear 0.06% 75 Nvidia Informs Hyperscalers About Incoming Price Hikes As Memory Costs Soar
neutral ▼ Bear 0.06% 85 Ontario Prime Minister Responds to Trump “He Can Kiss My Ass”
miss ▼ Bear 0.37% 70 We Don't Need Canada: Loonie Limps Lower As Trump Unleashes (More) Tariffs
miss ▼ Bear 0.37% 72 Macron Vows To Fast-Track More Missile Interceptors For Ukraine After Deadly ...
neutral ▼ Bear -0.28% 70 Gold Jumps, Curve Flattens On Report Treasury To Tap Trillion-Dollar TGA To F...
neutral ▼ Bear -0.28% 75 Israel DM Orders IDF To Escalate Demolitions In Southern Lebanon
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 60 LS Secures US Big Tech Data Center Power Equipment Contract, Stock Expected t...
neutral ▲ Bull 0.0% 60 HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Secures 4 LPGC Vessel Contract in Oceania, Stock ...