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Weekly Market Trend Recap

Week of March 09, 2026 (UTC)

Updated: 2026-03-11 03:28 UTC
Coverage: Last 7 days (UTC)

Bull vs Bear Trend

Through yesterday (UTC EOD)
Today live (UTC) · 2026-03-11 09:24 UTC · 29 items
Date Bull Score Bear Score BTC Close (USD) S&P 500 Close Next-day BTC Next-day S&P 500
2026-03-11 (Now) 65.3 58.9 - - - -
2026-03-10 60.2 57.1 $69960.83 6781.48 Bull Bull
2026-03-09 59.2 71.3 $68432.17 6795.99 Bear Miss
Next $69960.83
Bear Hit
Next 6781.48
2026-03-08 59.9 70.2 $65970.56 - Bear Miss
Next $68432.17
Bear
2026-03-07 59.9 66.0 $67259.62 - Bear Hit
Next $65970.56
Bear
2026-03-06 67.2 64.6 $68108.24 6740.02 Bull Miss
Next $67259.62
Bull Hit
Next 6795.99
2026-03-05 55.7 61.7 $70887.60 6830.71 Bear Hit
Next $68108.24
Bear Hit
Next 6740.02
2026-03-04 63.1 64.2 $72683.26 6869.50 Bear Hit
Next $70887.60
Bear Hit
Next 6830.71
2026-03-03 63.6 68.7 $68335.99 6816.63 Bear Miss
Next $72683.26
Bear Miss
Next 6869.50
2026-03-02 61.9 71.5 $68832.01 6881.62 Bear Hit
Next $68335.99
Bear Hit
Next 6816.63
2026-03-01 66.1 75.9 $65769.00 - Bear Miss
Next $68832.01
Bear
2026-02-28 69.6 81.5 $66967.85 - Bear Hit
Next $65769.00
Bear
2026-02-27 70.5 76.0 $65859.94 6878.88 Bear Miss
Next $66967.85
Bear Miss
Next 6881.62
2026-02-26 70.6 71.9 $67490.51 6908.86 Bear Hit
Next $65859.94
Bear Hit
Next 6878.88
2026-02-25 71.0 74.0 $67992.68 6946.13 Bear Hit
Next $67490.51
Bear Hit
Next 6908.86
2026-02-24 68.0 75.2 $64068.33 6890.07 Bear Miss
Next $67992.68
Bear Miss
Next 6946.13
2026-02-23 69.0 82.0 $64625.78 6837.75 Bear Hit
Next $64068.33
Bear Miss
Next 6890.07
2026-02-22 67.6 64.7 $67617.98 - Bull Miss
Next $64625.78
Bull
2026-02-21 68.4 86.8 $67955.78 - Bear Hit
Next $67617.98
Bear
2026-02-20 74.4 71.2 $67984.42 6909.51 Bull Miss
Next $67955.78
Bull Miss
Next 6837.75
2026-02-19 68.8 77.8 $66972.50 6861.89 Bear Miss
Next $67984.42
Bear Miss
Next 6909.51
2026-02-18 69.4 69.7 $66419.79 6881.31 Bear Miss
Next $66972.50
Bear Hit
Next 6861.89
2026-02-17 73.1 79.0 $67466.70 6843.22 Bear Hit
Next $66419.79
Bear Miss
Next 6881.31
2026-02-16 74.3 73.4 $68858.13 - Bull Miss
Next $67466.70
Bull
2026-02-15 71.2 75.8 $68792.00 - Bear Miss
Next $68858.13
Bear
2026-02-14 73.4 69.6 $69786.96 - Bull Miss
Next $68792.00
Bull
2026-02-13 73.2 72.8 $68812.00 6836.17 Bull Hit
Next $69786.96
Bull Hit
Next 6843.22
2026-02-12 67.0 70.8 $66208.00 6832.76 Bear Miss
Next $68812.00
Bear Miss
Next 6836.17
2026-02-11 66.2 67.1 $67024.93 6941.47 Bear Hit
Next $66208.00
Bear Hit
Next 6832.76
2026-02-10 64.2 64.5 $68803.65 6941.81 Bear Hit
Next $67024.93
Bear Hit
Next 6941.47
2026-02-09 62.3 65.1 $70101.99 6964.82 Bear Hit
Next $68803.65
Bear Hit
Next 6941.81

Weekly Highlights

Top Bullish Drivers

  • • Bitwise CIO reiterates bitcoin price could reach $1 million as he compares it to gold
  • • TD Cowen says Congress likely getting closer to permanently banning a Fed CBDC
  • • How Aviva Investors plans to tokenize its funds on XRP Ledger, with RippleX SVP

Top Bearish Drivers

  • • Iran rep accuses Israel, US of striking Iran civilian sites
  • • Aave suffers oracle glitch, triggering $26 million in unfair wstETH liquidations
  • • Ether funding rate flips negative: Are ETH bears back in control?

Weekly AI Insight

Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week. Market participants remained focused on macro data releases and positioning shifts as sentiment adjusted through the week.

Signal Accuracy

7-day Accuracy
BTC: 3/7 (42.9%)
S&P 500: 4/4 (100.0%)
30-day Accuracy
BTC: 14/30 (46.7%)
S&P 500: 12/20 (60.0%)
Cumulative Accuracy
BTC: 139/268 (51.9%)
S&P 500: 119/214 (55.6%)
Based on the last 365 days

How We Calculate This

Scores are recency-weighted averages of importance_score over the last 7 days. We anchor the decay to each day?s UTC end-of-day with a 12-hour half-life. Next-day accuracy checks whether prior-day Bull/Bear dominance matches the next day?s close direction. BTC uses UTC dates; S&P 500 uses U.S. market close dates.