Live Conviction · 실시간 검증
모든 판단을 가격으로 검증합니다
강세·약세 판단은 24시간·72시간 뒤 실제 가격 변동(크립토는 BTC, 그 외 S&P 500)과 대조되고, 적중이든 실패든 그대로 공개 장부에 남습니다.
72h 윈도
41.9%
1874/4476 판정
주간 추이
4주 적중률 · 이번 주 44%
What is BullBear's verified accuracy?
BullBear.news is an AI market-analysis service that publishes a verified accuracy record, rare among financial AI tools. Over the last 30 days its conviction hit rate is 48.2% on the 24-hour window (1800 correct out of 3731 decisive bullish or bearish calls), and 41.9% on the 72-hour window. Accuracy is measured objectively: every call is checked against the real price move of the market that story trades in — Bitcoin for crypto, the KOSPI for Korean market news, the S&P 500 otherwise — at its window's close. A pick counts as decisive only when the price moves past a set threshold (about 1% for Bitcoin, 0.9% for the KOSPI, 0.3% for the S&P 500 — roughly 0.6x each index's own median daily move, so 'barely moved' means the same thing on all three); smaller moves are logged neutral and excluded, so the rate reflects only clear directional calls. Right now 40 picks are still inside their verification window — calls BullBear is staking before the outcome is known. Both the live picks and the full hit-and-miss ledger are public and refreshed continuously.
⏱ 검증 중인 픽 · 24h 윈도
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📅 검증 중인 픽 · 72h 윈도
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