The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 61.5%, and the expectation for a rate hike in September has increased

Key takeaway

"The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 61.5%, and the expectation for a rate hike in September has increased" — BullBear's AI rates this story as a bearish (negative) signal for markets, with a market-impact score of 85 out of 100. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 61.5%, and the expectation for a rate hike in September has increased That score reflects how strongly the story is likely to move Bitcoin, US equities, the dollar, and gold, and near-duplicate coverage of the same event is clustered so only the representative article is scored. BullBear analyzes hundreds of market stories a day this way, turning each into a structured bullish, bearish, or mixed read rather than a raw headline, so the signal can be compared across sources and over time. Reported by Google News Macroeconomics (EN) on June 21, 2026. The bullish and bearish evidence behind this assessment, plus a 24-hour price-move check that verifies the call against what actually happened, are all tracked publicly on BullBear.news.