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high impact US inflation Friday · September 11, 2026 · 12:30 UTC

US CPI (August 2026 data)

Released · Sep 11, 12:30 UTC

AI pre-release briefing

The U.S. CPI for August 2026 is slated for release at 12:30 UTC on 11 Sept, and markets are awaiting the data to gauge inflation trends. With no clear consensus price level, analysts broadly anticipate a reading near the Fed’s 2 % target but remain split on whether month‑over‑month changes will be above or below expectations. A higher‑than‑expected CPI would be viewed as a hawkish surprise, likely prompting expectations of tighter monetary policy, while a lower‑than‑expected figure would be a dovish surprise, supporting a more accommodative stance. Historically, a hawkish surprise lifts the U.S. dollar, pressures gold and Bitcoin lower, and can weigh on the S&P 500; a dovish surprise tends to weaken the dollar, boost gold and BTC, and provide a tailwind for equities.

Generated by Gemini at 2026-09-09T13:40:42Z. Scenarios, not predictions.

Result — from the issuing agency

Indicator
Core CPI, less food and energy (SA index)
Reference month
August 2026
Value
337.765
Prior month
336.789
Change MoM
+0.29%
Change YoY
+2.45%

Source data (BLS) · Our analysis · Ingested 2026-09-11 13:05 UTC

Indicator
CPI, all items (NSA index)
Reference month
August 2026
Value
334.98
Prior month
333.918
Change MoM
+0.32%
Change YoY
+3.40%

Source data (BLS) · Our analysis · Ingested 2026-09-11 13:05 UTC

These figures are reproduced as published by the issuing agency. The preview below was written before the release and may not match the outcome.

This calendar's AI — verified 30d hit rate 42.7% (88/206 decisive, neutrals excluded) · misses included Public ledger →

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