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high impact US inflation Wednesday · August 12, 2026 · 12:30 UTC

US CPI (July 2026 data)

Released · Aug 12, 12:30 UTC

AI pre-release briefing

Markets lack consensus on the July 2026 US CPI, with no prior data or forecasts available. A hawkish surprise—CPI significantly above expectations—could strengthen USD, pressure BTC, and trigger S&P 500 declines, signaling prolonged rate hikes. A dovish surprise (CPI below expectations) might lift BTC and gold while weakening USD, reflecting reduced rate-hike expectations. Historical patterns show equities typically fall on hawkish CPI, while gold and USD react inversely to inflation surprises.

Generated by Gemini at 2026-08-11T07:55:48Z. Scenarios, not predictions.

Result — from the issuing agency

Indicator
Core CPI, less food and energy (SA index)
Reference month
July 2026
Value
336.789
Prior month
336.065
Change MoM
+0.22%
Change YoY
+2.47%

Source data (BLS) · Our analysis · Ingested 2026-08-12 23:05 UTC

Indicator
CPI, all items (NSA index)
Reference month
July 2026
Value
333.918
Prior month
333.952
Change MoM
-0.01%
Change YoY
+3.36%

Source data (BLS) · Our analysis · Ingested 2026-08-12 23:05 UTC

These figures are reproduced as published by the issuing agency. The preview below was written before the release and may not match the outcome.

This calendar's AI — verified 30d hit rate 46.3% (1018/2200 decisive, neutrals excluded) · misses included Public ledger →

Get the AI read right after the release. The result and market-reaction analysis land in the live feed.

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