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high impact US employment Friday · August 07, 2026 · 12:30 UTC

US Nonfarm Payrolls (July 2026 data)

Released · Aug 07, 12:30 UTC

AI pre-release briefing

The US Nonfarm Payrolls report for July 2026 is due Friday at 12:30 UTC. With consensus unknown, a significant deviation from the prior reading will be key. A stronger-than-expected print (hawkish surprise) could boost USD and S&P 500 while pressuring BTC and gold. Conversely, a weaker-than-expected result (dovish surprise) might weaken USD and S&P 500, potentially supporting BTC and gold.

Generated by Gemini at 2026-08-05T12:41:53Z. Scenarios, not predictions.

Result — from the issuing agency

Indicator
Nonfarm payrolls (thousands)
Reference month
July 2026
Value
158858.0
Prior month
158881.0
Change MoM
-0.01%
Change YoY
+0.20%

Source data (BLS) · Our analysis · Ingested 2026-08-07 13:05 UTC

Indicator
Unemployment rate
Reference month
July 2026
Value
4.1
Prior month
4.2
Change MoM
-0.10pp
Change YoY
-0.20pp

Source data (BLS) · Our analysis · Ingested 2026-08-07 13:05 UTC

These figures are reproduced as published by the issuing agency. The preview below was written before the release and may not match the outcome.

This calendar's AI — verified 30d hit rate 45.9% (979/2134 decisive, neutrals excluded) · misses included Public ledger →

Get the AI read right after the release. The result and market-reaction analysis land in the live feed.

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