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medium impact US inflation Thursday · July 30, 2026 · 12:30 UTC

US PCE inflation (June 2026 data)

Released · Jul 30, 12:30 UTC

AI pre-release briefing

The upcoming US PCE inflation data for June 2026 is a medium-importance event. Without a consensus, market participants will scrutinize the figures for signs of inflationary pressures. A hawkish surprise (higher than expected inflation) could pressure BTC and S&P 500 lower, boost USD, and support gold. Conversely, a dovish surprise (lower than expected inflation) might see BTC and S&P 500 rise, USD weaken, and gold face headwinds. The reaction will hinge on how the data influences future monetary policy expectations.

Generated by Gemini at 2026-07-28T13:10:39Z. Scenarios, not predictions.

Result — from the issuing agency

Indicator
Core PCE price index, excluding food and energy
Reference month
June 2026
Value
130.266
Prior month
130.094
Change MoM
+0.13%
Change YoY
+3.29%

Source data (BEA) · Our analysis · Ingested 2026-08-16 08:24 UTC

Indicator
PCE price index
Reference month
June 2026
Value
131.392
Prior month
131.535
Change MoM
-0.11%
Change YoY
+3.67%

Source data (BEA) · Our analysis · Ingested 2026-08-16 08:24 UTC

These figures are reproduced as published by the issuing agency. The preview below was written before the release and may not match the outcome.

This calendar's AI — verified 30d hit rate 45.9% (979/2134 decisive, neutrals excluded) · misses included Public ledger →

Get the AI read right after the release. The result and market-reaction analysis land in the live feed.

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