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high impact US monetary_policy Wednesday · July 29, 2026 · 18:00 UTC

FOMC rate decision (July 2026)

Released · Jul 29, 18:00 UTC

AI pre-release briefing

The upcoming FOMC rate decision on July 29, 2026, carries high importance. With consensus unknown, a hawkish surprise (higher-than-expected rate or hawkish commentary) could pressure BTC and S&P 500, while strengthening USD and potentially weighing on gold. Conversely, a dovish surprise (lower-than-expected rate or dovish commentary) might boost BTC and S&P 500, weaken USD, and support gold. Market participants will scrutinize the statement for forward guidance on monetary policy trajectory.

Generated by Gemini at 2026-07-27T18:10:33Z. Scenarios, not predictions.

Result — from the issuing agency

Indicator
Federal funds target range
Value
3.50-3.75%
Decision date
2026-07-29
Previous
3.50-3.75%
Change
Held (no change)
Unchanged since
2025-12-11

Source data (Federal Reserve)

These figures are reproduced as published by the issuing agency. The preview below was written before the release and may not match the outcome. A policy rate takes effect the business day after it is announced, so the decision date and the effective date differ.

This calendar's AI — verified 30d hit rate 45.9% (979/2134 decisive, neutrals excluded) · misses included Public ledger →

Get the AI read right after the release. The result and market-reaction analysis land in the live feed.

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