high impactEUmonetary_policyThursday · July 23, 2026 · 12:15 UTC
ECB rate decision (July 2026)
Released · Jul 23, 12:15 UTC
AI pre-release briefing
The ECB's July 2026 rate decision is a high-importance monetary policy event. With consensus unknown, a hawkish surprise would involve a higher-than-expected rate hike or hawkish forward guidance, while a dovish surprise would be a rate cut or dovish commentary. Markets will closely watch reactions in BTC, S&P 500, USD, and gold, anticipating potential volatility across these asset classes.
Generated by Gemini at 2026-07-21T12:15:52Z. Scenarios, not predictions.
These figures are reproduced as published by the issuing agency. The preview below was written before the release and may not match the outcome.
A policy rate takes effect the business day after it is announced, so the decision date and the effective date differ.
This calendar's AI — verified 30d hit rate
45.9%
(979/2134 decisive, neutrals excluded)
· misses included
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