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high impact EU monetary_policy Friday · June 05, 2026 · 12:15 UTC

ECB rate decision (June 2026)

Released · Jun 05, 12:15 UTC

AI pre-release briefing

The European Central Bank's monetary policy decision on June 5, 2026, is a high-importance event. With no prior consensus or previous data available, market expectations are unformed. A hawkish surprise would involve a signal of delayed rate cuts or even a hike, potentially strengthening the USD and gold, while pressuring S&P 500 and BTC. Conversely, a dovish surprise would suggest faster or deeper rate cuts, likely weakening the USD and gold, and boosting S&P 500 and BTC.

Generated by Gemini at 2026-06-03T12:17:00Z. Scenarios, not predictions.

Result — from the issuing agency

Indicator
ECB deposit facility rate
Value
2.00%
Decision date
2026-06-05
Previous
2.00%
Change
Held (no change)
Unchanged since
2025-06-11

Source data (ECB)

These figures are reproduced as published by the issuing agency. The preview below was written before the release and may not match the outcome. A policy rate takes effect the business day after it is announced, so the decision date and the effective date differ.

This calendar's AI — verified 30d hit rate 45.9% (979/2134 decisive, neutrals excluded) · misses included Public ledger →

Get the AI read right after the release. The result and market-reaction analysis land in the live feed.

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