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high impact US monetary_policy Thursday · May 28, 2026 · 18:00 UTC

FOMC rate decision (May 2026)

Released · May 28, 18:00 UTC

AI pre-release briefing

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to announce its rate decision on May 28th at 18:00 UTC. The market consensus anticipates no change, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25-4.50%. A hawkish surprise, such as an unexpected rate hike or significantly more restrictive forward guidance, would likely pressure BTC and the S&P 500 lower, while strengthening the USD and potentially weighing on gold. Conversely, a dovish surprise, like a rate cut or unexpectedly accommodative guidance, would typically support BTC and the S&P 500, weaken the USD, and boost gold.

Generated by Gemini at 2026-05-17T03:50:13Z. Scenarios, not predictions.

Result — from the issuing agency

Indicator
Federal funds target range
Value
3.50-3.75%
Decision date
2026-05-28
Previous
3.50-3.75%
Change
Held (no change)
Unchanged since
2025-12-11

Source data (Federal Reserve)

These figures are reproduced as published by the issuing agency. The preview below was written before the release and may not match the outcome. A policy rate takes effect the business day after it is announced, so the decision date and the effective date differ.

Consensus 4.25-4.50% (no change expected) Previous 4.25-4.50%
This calendar's AI — verified 30d hit rate 45.9% (979/2134 decisive, neutrals excluded) · misses included Public ledger →

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