recession risk indicators
Recession Risk Indicators: Bull/Bear Impact Dashboard
Watch recession risk indicators and their impact on risk assets with actionable bullish and bearish news signals.
Signal snapshot (last 7 days, EN matching news)
Bullish Pressure
69.8
Count: 4
Bearish Pressure
75.0
Count: 2
Top Bull Case: 2026 Fed Stress Test Results: All 32 Large Banks Pass Severe Recession Scenario - News and Statistics - IndexBox
Top Bear Case: The Federal Reserve’s policy space is under renewed pressure! The U.S. goods trade deficit in May unexpectedly hit a one-year high, likely weighing on second-quarter GDP.
Latest Related Headlines
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The Federal Reserve’s policy space is under renewed pressure! The U.S. goods trade deficit in May unexpectedly hit a one-year high, likely weighing on second-quarter GDP.
2026-06-26 14:02 UTC | DOWN | importance 75
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First-quarter GDP gets big boost, but it’s not really great news
2026-06-25 15:07 UTC | MIXED | importance 65
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Fed Annual Stress Test Finds Banks Resilient in Severe Recession Scenario
2026-06-25 14:01 UTC | UP | importance 60
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US GDP Revised Higher as May PCE Inflation Hits 4.1% and Consumer Spending Beats Forecasts - Quiver Quantitative
2026-06-25 13:06 UTC | MIXED | importance 75
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Major brokerages' forecasts for S&P 500, global GDP growth in 2026 - Reuters
2026-06-25 07:00 UTC | MIXED | importance 65
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2026 Fed Stress Test Results: All 32 Large Banks Pass Severe Recession Scenario - News and Statistics - IndexBox
2026-06-24 20:31 UTC | UP | importance 75
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Bessent sees GDP growth booming again this year. Kalshi traders see little chance of that - CNBC
2026-06-24 16:57 UTC | DOWN | importance 75
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Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Says U.S. Can Achieve 3% GDP Growth Without Reigniting Inflation
2026-06-24 16:33 UTC | UP | importance 75
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Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Says U.S. Can Achieve 3% GDP Growth Without Reigniting Inflation - 24/7 Wall St.
2026-06-24 16:33 UTC | UP | importance 70
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AI Reshaping US Jobs But Not Yet Triggering Mass Unemployment, Says European Central Bank
2026-06-24 10:30 UTC | MIXED | importance 50
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Oil shock nicked US GDP but resilience was the message, Dallas Fed research finds - Reuters
2026-06-23 16:36 UTC | MIXED | importance 65
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The Federal Reserve Just Delivered Terrible News for the Stock Market, but There's a Silver Lining for Investors
2026-06-22 11:35 UTC | MIXED | importance 75