Guides
Understand the numbers and the verification behind them — and get much more out of this site.
How to Read the Bull-Bear Index (BBI)
What the 0-100 Bull-Bear Index measures, how it is computed from AI-scored news, and how to interpret each range — plus what it is NOT.
Read →What "Verified Accuracy" Means on BullBear
How every bullish/bearish call is checked against the real 24h/72h price move, why we publish the misses, and how to read the hit rate correctly.
Read →How Our AI Scores Financial News
The full pipeline from RSS ingestion to stance and impact scores: what the AI looks at, how duplicates are merged, and the known limitations.
Read →How News Actually Moves Bitcoin — 90 Days of Verified Calls
52.9% of 6,057 decisive calls hit in 24h, 44% of headlines moved nothing, and impact-80+ stories hit 55.5% — what 90 days of verified calls reveal.
Read →When Our AI Was Wrong: An Honest Post-Mortem
Real missed calls from our public ledger — the June 1 bull calls, the priced-in Fed stories — the failure patterns behind them, and how to read the ledger skeptically.
Read →What Actually Moves the Bull-Bear Index
The BBI's real 90-day band (45.0-47.8, median 46.4), why its biggest swing was a thin-news artifact, and why story weight — not count — moves the index.
Read →How to Read the Economic Calendar
Importance tiers, AI pre-briefings and their 24-48h window, and why the consensus-vs-actual gap moves markets more than the number itself — with real ledger examples.
Read →Same Signal, Different Market: How News Reads Across BTC vs the S&P 500
Why crypto calls are graded vs BTC and everything else vs SPY — with real category hit rates, reaction sizes, and what the benchmark label means for reading a pick.
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