Live Conviction · 실시간 검증
Every call, verified against price
Every bullish or bearish call is checked against the actual price move (BTC for crypto, S&P 500 for everything else) at +24h and +72h — hits and misses both land on the public ledger.
72h window
40.6%
1242/3061 decisive
Weekly trend
4-week hit rate · this week 60%
What is BullBear's verified accuracy?
BullBear.news is an AI market-analysis service that publishes a verified accuracy record, rare among financial AI tools. Over the last 30 days its conviction hit rate is 46.3% on the 24-hour window (1018 correct out of 2200 decisive bullish or bearish calls), and 40.6% on the 72-hour window. Accuracy is measured objectively: every call is checked against the real price move of the market that story trades in — Bitcoin for crypto, the KOSPI for Korean market news, the S&P 500 otherwise — at its window's close. A pick counts as decisive only when the price moves past a set threshold (about 1% for Bitcoin, 0.9% for the KOSPI, 0.3% for the S&P 500 — roughly 0.6x each index's own median daily move, so 'barely moved' means the same thing on all three); smaller moves are logged neutral and excluded, so the rate reflects only clear directional calls. Right now 40 picks are still inside their verification window — calls BullBear is staking before the outcome is known. Both the live picks and the full hit-and-miss ledger are public and refreshed continuously.
⏱ Open picks · 24h window
"July Was A Bad Month": Jane Street Lost $15 Billion In First Down Month In A Decade
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 17:00 UTC
Peace Industry sees controlling stake rise to 62.37% by Peace Holdings, stock may rise
Peace Holdings increased its stake by 619,794 shares to a controlling 62.37% of Peace Industry through on‑exchange purchases.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
Lexicon Korea Holdco Acquires 61.17% Stake in Lotte Rental via OTC Deal, Stock Expected to Rise
Lexicon Korea Holdco secured a controlling 61.17% stake in Lotte Rental through an off‑exchange purchase, signaling strong confidence and likely boosting the...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
Trump Threatens To 'Bomb The S**t' Out Of Oman & Touts IRGC Backchannel
Trump Doubles Down On Plans To Make Hormuz Strait A US Territory: "A Great Idea" Summary Trump repeats declaration that he'll make Strait of Hormuz a "US ...
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 19:05 UTC
Fourth crypto exchange shuts down in just six weeks
crypto · Protos · Aug 17, 16:26 UTC
AI Pledge Allegiance To The Flag
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 13:50 UTC
Rising Bond Yields Are a Warning to the US Treasury and the Fed
macro · MishTalk · Aug 17, 12:38 UTC
Half Of Typical US Family's Paycheck Swallowed By Housing, Childcare
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 21:40 UTC
Iran's Army Chief Offers $30K Reward For Kill Or Capture Of American Troops
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 09:45 UTC
WinHaiTech Signs 38B KRW Construction Deal with Incheon Shinpo, Stock Expected to Rise
WinHaiTech has signed a construction contract worth KRW 38 billion with Incheon Shinpo, representing about 50% of its latest revenue.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
Kolon Global Secures 3.9% of Annual Sales Contract for Pyeongtaek P5 Water Treatment Plant
Kolon Global secured a construction contract for a new water treatment plant in Pyeongtaek's Godeok International City, representing 3.9% of its recent annua...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
Geopolitical Reality Has Ended The Rush To Renewables
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 21:00 UTC
Construction Inflation for Nonresidential Buildings Soars amid AI Investment Mania
macro · Wolf Street · Aug 17, 19:51 UTC
"US Can't Bomb Its Way To Victory": Scotiabank Maps Bessent's Coming Economic Hammer On Iran
"US Can't Bomb Its Way To Victory": Scotiabank Maps Bessent's Coming Economic Hammer On Iran Brent crude futures ended last week near $88.50 a barrel as tr...
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 12:45 UTC
U.S. Drafts Ultimatum for Allies Joining China's AI Bloc
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 08:15 UTC
HJ Heavy Industries Secures 104.4bn KRW Contract for Road 46 Section 4, Stock Expected to Rise
HJ Heavy Industries has won a 104.4 billion‑won contract for Section 4 of Road 46, covering parts of Gyeonggi and Gangwon provinces. The deal represents roug...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
Sebom M&C signs 43.5bn KRW Pyeongtaek facility contract with Samsung Heavy Industries, shares expected to rise
Sebom M&C has secured a 43.5bn KRW Pyeongtaek facility contract with Samsung Heavy Industries, representing about 6% of its latest revenue and signaling pote...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
Hwang Sung-jin Acquires 17.53% Stake in Logismon via New Shares
Reporting party Hwang Sung-jin has disclosed the acquisition of 1,500,000 shares (17.53%) in Logismon (223220) through the subscription of new shares.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
J.P. Morgan Reduces Stake in MK Electron by 1.71%p
J.P. Morgan Securities holds 846,135 shares (3.44%) of MK Electron, a decrease of 398,877 shares (1.71%p) from the previous holding. The reason for the repor...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
Kolon Secures 104.8 bn KRW Contract for Pyeongtaek P5 Water Plant Phase‑3
Kolon has signed a 104.8 billion KRW contract to design and build Phase‑3 of the P5 water purification plant in Pyeongtaek.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
📅 Open picks · 72h window
"July Was A Bad Month": Jane Street Lost $15 Billion In First Down Month In A Decade
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 17:00 UTC
U.S. Real GDP Growth Slows to 1.5% Annualized in Q2 2026
macro · U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Aug 16, 08:28 UTC
Lexicon Korea Holdco Acquires 61.17% Stake in Lotte Rental via OTC Deal, Stock Expected to Rise
Lexicon Korea Holdco secured a controlling 61.17% stake in Lotte Rental through an off‑exchange purchase, signaling strong confidence and likely boosting the...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
Peace Industry sees controlling stake rise to 62.37% by Peace Holdings, stock may rise
Peace Holdings increased its stake by 619,794 shares to a controlling 62.37% of Peace Industry through on‑exchange purchases.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
Trump Threatens To 'Bomb The S**t' Out Of Oman & Touts IRGC Backchannel
Trump Doubles Down On Plans To Make Hormuz Strait A US Territory: "A Great Idea" Summary Trump repeats declaration that he'll make Strait of Hormuz a "US ...
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 19:05 UTC
Fourth crypto exchange shuts down in just six weeks
crypto · Protos · Aug 17, 16:26 UTC
AI Pledge Allegiance To The Flag
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 13:50 UTC
Rising Bond Yields Are a Warning to the US Treasury and the Fed
macro · MishTalk · Aug 17, 12:38 UTC
June PCE Price Index Slightly Falls, Boosting Inflation‑Easing Sentiment
macro · U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Aug 16, 08:24 UTC
Half Of Typical US Family's Paycheck Swallowed By Housing, Childcare
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 21:40 UTC
Iran's Army Chief Offers $30K Reward For Kill Or Capture Of American Troops
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 09:45 UTC
U.S. Core PCE Price Index Rises in June, Inflation Pressure Persists
macro · U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis · Aug 16, 08:24 UTC
WinHaiTech Signs 38B KRW Construction Deal with Incheon Shinpo, Stock Expected to Rise
WinHaiTech has signed a construction contract worth KRW 38 billion with Incheon Shinpo, representing about 50% of its latest revenue.
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
Kolon Global Secures 3.9% of Annual Sales Contract for Pyeongtaek P5 Water Treatment Plant
Kolon Global secured a construction contract for a new water treatment plant in Pyeongtaek's Godeok International City, representing 3.9% of its recent annua...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
Geopolitical Reality Has Ended The Rush To Renewables
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 21:00 UTC
Construction Inflation for Nonresidential Buildings Soars amid AI Investment Mania
macro · Wolf Street · Aug 17, 19:51 UTC
"US Can't Bomb Its Way To Victory": Scotiabank Maps Bessent's Coming Economic Hammer On Iran
"US Can't Bomb Its Way To Victory": Scotiabank Maps Bessent's Coming Economic Hammer On Iran Brent crude futures ended last week near $88.50 a barrel as tr...
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 12:45 UTC
U.S. Drafts Ultimatum for Allies Joining China's AI Bloc
macro · ZeroHedge · Aug 17, 08:15 UTC
The Colorado River, Lake Powell, Lake Mead Problem Finally Hits Crisis Level
macro · MishTalk · Aug 16, 20:30 UTC
HJ Heavy Industries Secures 104.4bn KRW Contract for Road 46 Section 4, Stock Expected to Rise
HJ Heavy Industries has won a 104.4 billion‑won contract for Section 4 of Road 46, covering parts of Gyeonggi and Gangwon provinces. The deal represents roug...
korea_finance · 금융감독원 전자공시(DART) · Aug 18, 00:00 UTC