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Morgan Stanley Projects SpaceX Revenue Hitting Stratospheric $3.4 Trillion In 2040, $2.7 Trillion In EBITDA
Bull/Bear Index 43.6/100
macro ZeroHedge · 3h ago

Morgan Stanley Projects SpaceX Revenue Hitting Stratospheric $3.4 Trillion In 2040, $2.7 Trillion In EBITDA

Morgan Stanley Projects SpaceX Revenue Hitting Stratospheric $3.4 Trillion In 2040, $2.7 Trillion In EBITDA Yesterday we shared a forensic analysis of the mechanics of the $75 billion SpaceX IPO and how to trade it, while specifically saying we are leaving the fundamentals aside. The reason for that is that the historicals of the company are, to put it mildly, problematic when it comes to projecting how the company grows into a multi-trillion behemoth.  As a reminder, SpaceX posted revenue of just under $20 billion for the LTM period, with approximately $6 billion EBITDA and loss of $4 billion, virtually all driven by the conglomerate's Connectivity (Starlink) division and to a lesser extend, the Launch Services division. Solid numbers on their own, but do they justify a $1.75 trillion in valuation? So how exactly does SpaceX get from here to there?  We got the answer this morning courtesy of the

Key takeaway

"Morgan Stanley Projects SpaceX Revenue Hitting Stratospheric $3.4 Trillion In 2040, $2.7 Trillion In EBITDA" — BullBear's AI rates this story as a mixed, direction-neutral signal, with a market-impact score of 0 out of 100. Morgan Stanley Projects SpaceX Revenue Hitting Stratospheric $3.4 Trillion In 2040, $2.7 Trillion In EBITDA Yesterday we shared a forensic analysis of the mechanics of the $75 billion SpaceX IPO and how to trade it, while specifically saying we are leaving the fundamentals aside. The reason for that is that the historicals of the company are, to put it mildly, problematic when it comes to projecting how the company grows into a multi-trillion behemoth.  As a reminder, SpaceX posted revenue of just under $20 billion for the LTM period, with approximately $6 billion EBITDA and loss of $4 billion, virtually all driven by the conglomerate's Connectivity (Starlink) division and to a lesser extend, the Launch Services division. Solid numbers on their own, but do they justify a $1.75 trillion in valuation? So how exactly does SpaceX get from here to there?  We got the answer this morning courtesy of the That score reflects how strongly the story is likely to move Bitcoin, US equities, the dollar, and gold, and near-duplicate coverage of the same event is clustered so only the representative article is scored. BullBear analyzes hundreds of market stories a day this way, turning each into a structured bullish, bearish, or mixed read rather than a raw headline, so the signal can be compared across sources and over time. Reported by ZeroHedge on June 05, 2026. The bullish and bearish evidence behind this assessment, plus a 24-hour price-move check that verifies the call against what actually happened, are all tracked publicly on BullBear.news.

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