recession risk indicators
Recession Risk Indicators: Bull/Bear Impact Dashboard
Watch recession risk indicators and their impact on risk assets with actionable bullish and bearish news signals.
Signal snapshot (last 7 days, EN matching news)
Bullish Pressure
67.1
Count: 7
Bearish Pressure
70.6
Count: 8
Top Bull Case: Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq rally as investors focus on January payroll data, 4.3% unemployment
Top Bear Case: US Employment Rebounds, Adding 130,000 Jobs in January…Unemployment Rate Drops to 4.3%
Latest Related Headlines
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Morgan Stanley Raises US GDP Forecast on Stronger Capex Outlook
2026-02-13 22:27 UTC | UP | importance 65
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US homes sales fell sharply in January, even as mortgage rates continued to ease
2026-02-13 00:01 UTC | DOWN | importance 65
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Moody's Maintains South Korea's Credit Rating at 'Aa2'... Concerns Over Increasing National Debt "Exceeds 60% of GDP in 2030"
2026-02-12 21:22 UTC | MIXED | importance 50
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UK Economy Grew Slightly in December; GDP Up 0.1%
2026-02-12 16:10 UTC | MIXED | importance 40
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Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq rally as investors focus on January payroll data, 4.3% unemployment
2026-02-12 11:20 UTC | UP | importance 70
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US Employment Rebounds, Adding 130,000 Jobs in January…Unemployment Rate Drops to 4.3%
2026-02-12 07:50 UTC | DOWN | importance 75
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Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq rally as investors focus on January payroll data, 4.3% unemployment
2026-02-12 06:22 UTC | UP | importance 70
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Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq rally as investors focus on January payroll data, 4.3% unemployment
2026-02-11 23:58 UTC | UP | importance 70
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US January Non-Farm Payrolls Surprise with 130k Job Increase...Unemployment Rate Falls to 4.3%
2026-02-11 23:52 UTC | DOWN | importance 75
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US January Employment Surprises with 130k Increase...Unemployment Rate Also Falls to 4.3%
2026-02-11 22:51 UTC | DOWN | importance 75
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Would a stock market crash trigger a global recession? Here’s what CE says - Investing.com
2026-02-11 22:39 UTC | DOWN | importance 75
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Will Stock Market Crash Trigger Global Economic Recession? CE Analysis By Investing.com
2026-02-11 22:37 UTC | DOWN | importance 70
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U.S. added stronger than expected 130,000 jobs in January, with unemployment rate falling to 4.3%
2026-02-11 22:34 UTC | DOWN | importance 70
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Record High of 2.78 Million 'Resting' People…Youth Unemployment Rate Highest in 5 Years - Dong-A Ilbo
2026-02-11 17:43 UTC | DOWN | importance 60
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The U.S. bond market is suddenly flashing a warning sign about the economy
2026-02-11 06:13 UTC | UP | importance 70
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Rattner, U.S. Secretary of Commerce: "Optimistic about 6% GDP Growth in Q1 Thanks to Weak Dollar" - News1
2026-02-11 05:41 UTC | MIXED | importance 50
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"What Would We Have Done Without Semiconductors? Lifting GDP by 1.6%P"... Korea's Growth Forecasts Upwardly Revised - Maeil Business Newspaper
2026-02-10 10:14 UTC | UP | importance 60
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Israel crypto industry pushes regulatory changes amid strong public support
2026-02-10 05:37 UTC | UP | importance 65